The Escalade Tournament Predictions (LD) (Updated Again)

I'm pleased to announce the LD predictions for the Escalade are complete. Here is a quick rundown of everyone's chances of winning:

Noah Matthews - 17%
Brandon Zarkovacki - 12%
Parker Boone - 10%
Colton Hughes - 9%
Elaine Csoros - 8%
Micah McGee - 7%
Jeffrey Link - 5%
Amber Moran - 3%
Cedar Roach - 3%
Alyssa Sloneker - 3%
Conner Brown - 3%

All other debaters are at 2% or less

(Edit: I updated the odds to account for each individual's probability of winning finals rather than simply dividing their probability of making finals by two. It doesn't substantially impact the odds other than by giving the top 5 a bit of an uptick.)

TP predictions will be released tomorrow.

Full probabilities can be viewed here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1nukAlHRkYukChD-21-_J3i2VvQogNSrsiXEJnpz1XqE/edit?usp=sharing

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