Fast and Furious Predictions - LD (Updated for Round 6)

Now that postings up to the third round of Fast and Furious have been released, we can use that information to conclude how everyone is doing and start predicting winners. This will be the first and last fast and furious prediction and we will not be publishing TP predictions (there wasn't a plan to predict this tournament at all in the first place due to the lack of a comp. list). Here is where LD at FnF currently stands though:

Chance of winning:

Benjamin Lightfoot - 37%
Lauren Lemmon - 16%
Katie Lawrence - 14%
Emily Heiney - 8%
Joseph Xu - 6%
Steven Henderson - 6%
Aubrey Eytchison - 6%
Colby Axelberd - 5%
Madeline Newman - 3%

All other debaters were at less than 1%.

I know I said I wasn't going to predict anymore, but I couldn't help myself. I updated the predictions to account for the matching in the fourth round. Here are the updated results:

Chance of winning:

Benjamin Lightfoot - 36% (-1%)
Lauren Lemmon - 16%
Katie Lawrence - 15% (+1%)
Emily Heiney - 8%
Joseph Xu - 7% (+1%)
Aubrey Eytchison - 7% (+1%)
Steven Henderson - 4% (-2%)
Colby Axelberd - 4% (-1%)
Madeline Newman - 3%

All other debaters are at less than 1%.

Here are the predictions updated for the fifth round:

Chance of winning:

Benjamin Lightfoot - 35% (-1%)
Lauren Lemmon - 16%
Emily Heiney - 12% (+4%)
Katie Lawrence - 11% (-4%)
Joseph Xu - 7%
Aubrey Eytchison - 6% (-1%)
Colby Axelberd - 5% (+1%)
Steven Henderson - 4%
Madeline Newman - 4% (+1%)

All other debaters are at less than 1%.

Here are the final predictions updated for the sixth round:

Chance of winning:

Benjamin Lightfoot - 32% (-3%)
Lauren Lemmon - 17% (+1%)
Katie Lawrence - 11%
Emily Heiney - 9% (-3%)
Aubrey Eytchison - 9% (+3%)
Steven Henderson - 6% (+2%)
Joseph Xu - 6% (-1%)
Madeline Newman - 6% (+2%)
Colby Axelberd - 5%

All other debaters are at less than 1%.

Full results can be viewed here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TO67lqPrrncaThBR9z-E8tSbipbDCJ_yY2Qa2NQjkTk/edit?usp=sharing