Here are the probabilities for each team winning Team Policy debate at Arkansas Diamond. For more information on how to read these probabilities, please see the previous post on the AR Diamond LD probabilities.
Chances of winning (rounded to the nearest %):
Farley/Reid - 14%
Xu/Xu - 14%
Dixon/Varner - 10%
Forbes/Tynan - 10%
Helton/McGuire - 10%
Heise/Henry - 7%
Richardson/Roberts - 7%
Giddens/Prozik - 6%
Congdon/Roose - 3%
Garcia/Millard - 3%
Said/Stellman - 3%
Weaver/Wilsterman - 3%
Azer/Lopez - 2%
All other debaters were at less than 2%.
Additionally, the model estimates there to be 1 6-0 record, 4 5-1 records, and 9 4-2 records for a total of 14 checks among 40 TP teams.
Full results can be viewed here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1tn2kehVOZXm_3vrA2YREEXWycN8Qib32KXaizpjWRQ8/edit?usp=sharing
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